Prof- Holger Maier, Dr Aaron Zecchin, Prof. Hedwing van Delden, Roel Vanhout, Tim MacNaught, Mike Wouters

Companie: RIKS /DFES

The RIKS are also preparing to agriculture and projections on living properly in EUROPE

getting data, tred the simulation, make sense, investment in the future, policies in the governnment

[email protected]

Palestra Dr. Amelie Jeanneau_

Dra. Jeanneau is a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Adelaide, Australia. Her primary research focuses on wildfire risk spatio-temporal modeling and mitigation. Her scientific contributions have the potential to help fire managers develop targeted risk management plans adapted to specific local objectives, particularly under uncertain future climatic and socio-economic conditions. Amelie aims to bridge the gap between scientific research and policy development to ensure scientific results are more easily accessible to the broader community and policymakers. She currently works in Australia, collaborating on several projects bringing together researchers and industry partners to develop decision support systems for sustainable futures.

Scenarie of 2020: the hotspots and losses

Scenarie of 2060, without climate change

Projections of Losses to 2060

Scenarie of 2060, with climate change, in RCP intermediate 4.5

Scenarie of 2060, with climate change, in RCP extreme 8.5

NOTES FROM THE CONFERENCE

tool: UNHaRMED; for pro active disaster risk assessment, that use scenaries to future hipothetical future

• can be used to : identify key areas of future wildfire risk

  quantify the impact of climate change and population growth on future losses

  priorituse funding allocation

  develop policies and stratagies for building well-prepared and resiliente communities

  1. Platform for interactive modeling to aid decision making, investment decisions, and mitigation measures
  2. Takes into account the long-term dynamics and uncertainties of hazard, exposure, and vulnerabilities
  3. Evaluate the efficacy of risk-reduction methods

• external drivers: exposure- land use and assets/ hazards risk models- earthquake, riverine flood, coastal inundation, bushfire/wildfires

  impact models- social, environmental and economic

• projections builders; future wildfire hotspots and losses

• scenarios on modelled bushfire and the impact of climate change or extreme temperature/ change in termic

  analyse the worst cenarious, weather dates back 1840 until now

• losses: probrability on the society : vulnerability _ being correlacted to the land use, either the grassland/recreation/forestry and nucleos (urban residential) : and the interaction on people are living

  

• Risk: result of the population and climate change towards bushfires

• Fire behaviour: vegetations types: concentration/density of forest and weather conditions